You've completely missed the point. Your personal experience doesn't speak to what the lock boxes are going to yield for most players anymore than the player that manages to pull 2-3 Legendaries from them every day for an entire week does. Saying petty things like " have fun spending your hard earned money on AF" only speaks poorly of your character.Quote:
Originally Posted by mr8liner
I never said I knew everything. That's another mischaracterization that further speaks to your character and the weakness of your argument when ad hominems are all you have left to counter my observations. What I have is based on facts and not the limited experience of 2 players out of thousands for a period of a few days which isn't even remotely informative about the mechanics involved in Arkforge drops from lock boxes.
I did some minor adjustments because of a post on a spike on the Alpha Test Server forum that turns out is not in-game. The slot that drops Arkforge also has 6 different grenades, 5 different stims and 3 different spikes in the loot table. Add to this 50 and 20 bundles for Arkforge and you have a total possible of 16 different items to drop, so you have a 6.25% chance for a bundle of 50 to drop and a 6.25% chance of a bundle of 20 to drop or a total of 12.5% chance to get any Arkforge.
That doesn't mean that if you buy 10 lock boxes you're guaranteed to get one Arkforge drop or that if you buy 2 lock boxes you won't get any. The way RNG works in the game is that the outcome of events is based on the entire player population's collective odds which is why we read about huge disparities between what one player experiences from their lock box drops compared to another. One player's good fortune is going to be balanced out by another player's bad luck or a spread of player's not quite so bad luck.
In the long run that good fortune is not going to hold out for most players. On average, the more lock box drops they experience the more likely it is that it's going to balance out to an average yield of 875 Arkforge for every 200 lock boxes, or 1600 key codes if you're purchasing Tier 2 lock boxes. That's not a pace most players can maintain to keep upgrading their gear. Notwithstanding your snide remark telling them to have fun buying Arkforge at the bit store, they're not going to do that. They're simply going to have to suffer watching prized legendary weapons that took them months to obtain become devalued until they cap out on EGO rating and can catch up on upgrading them, which may take several months (assuming they stick around that long).
