Tier boxes not so random!!!

[Nadar]

I always love when people are trying to find a pattern for something that is random.
Key word being: RANDOM.

The key word is actually missing....and that is 'PSEUDO' random number generator. I really doubt the system is connected to anything that is actually generating random numbers since that is not necessary for this type of application. While, if properly configured, a pseudo random number generator will create a sequence of numbers with decent random properties, they are not truly random. And the rng that is generally available in programming languages isn't considered all that good since it can start repeating sequences fairly quickly (albeit after thousands of numbers)....should be fine for games but nothing that truly cares about simulating randomness.

If configured or used improperly, these common rng's will generate repeated sequences much more frequently. While I think the problem with the drop box output is likely something different that just how the rng is being used, I do believe there is some problem. It is very suspicious that a number of people are reporting that they are getting exactly BBBG drops.....I usually buy tier 3's but this weekend decided to switch to tier 4's since I was not having any luck getting legendaries from the tier 3's. In the 5 I bought, I also got 3 blues and 1 green from each of them....I don't think they were always in BBBG order but the quantities were always 3B & 1G. While it is certainly statistically possible for this to happen, it does raise a flag that something might be wrong.

[RogueNineCH]

I've got an orange from 2,3,4 lockboxes. Don't forget to cross your fingers and chant gooosefraba Goooooosefraba when opening them.

I LOVE that movie! It's one of my all time favorite Sandler movies.

[TravelerX1]

Well either something changed recently or I am on a real bad streak of luck. I was doing pretty well with the boxes until the last downtime, now.... I rarely see a purple, let alone an orange.

[Thearl]

In the 5 I bought, I also got 3 blues and 1 green from each of them....I don't think they were always in BBBG order but the quantities were always 3B & 1G. While it is certainly statistically possible for this to happen, it does raise a flag that something might be wrong.

Ditto.

I bought 8 tier 4's over the holiday weekend. Every time it was B,B,B,G. Oranges stopped popping for me at EGO 2000. I don't know if thats a coincidence. We'll find out when the DLC drops and I roll a Casti.

[RogueNineCH]

Well either something changed recently or I am on a real bad streak of luck. I was doing pretty well with the boxes until the last downtime, now.... I rarely see a purple, let alone an orange.

Same here, I was doing pretty good until then as well. As much as I like Oranges, I would be just fine with purples. Those have been few and far between as well.

[N3gativeCr33p]

I still have yet to snag an orange from a lockbox... purchased one T3 and two T2 lockboxes over the weekend, and received nothing higher than maybe two blue weapons total.

Meh, I'll keep trying... my Irath is inching closer to 1000 EGO.

[Tekrunner]

EGO 4800, 3 legendaries in the last 7 T4 lockboxes.

I know it's hard to accept, but even pseudo-random is likely random enough.

That's not to say there can't be any bugs or glitches affecting lockbox drop rates (bugs? in my Defiance? you can't be serious!). But if you want to prove anything, anecdotal data won't lead you anywhere. Start a new data collection project, and see what you get.

[Zugo]

My weekend haul was as follows,

T4
BBBG
BBBG
BBBG
BBBG
OBBB (12:00AM PST 7/7/13)

T3
PBG
BBB
BBG
GGG
BBG

The strange string of BBBG in the T4 boxes had me scratching my head so I tried the T3 up until the last shot late last night before logging off.

[TravelerX1]

Same here, I was doing pretty good until then as well. As much as I like Oranges, I would be just fine with purples. Those have been few and far between as well.

Same here. All blue and green. I did get one purple syphon magnum that was nice. But other then that... I have been having better purple luck from Vendors (2 Ars and a Ground Pounder this week)

[JDF]

So for the past 3 days ive opened 10-12 tier 4 boxes consecutivly. Every time i have recieved in this exact order blue,blue,blue,green. WTF!! if these boxes rely on your ego level to determine what items you recieve then trion needs to shed some light on this subject. this is very dissapponting. ego 3757

Was thinking about talking about this myself and saw your thread. Yep the same is happening to me lately blue, blue, blue, green....blue, blue, blue, green...in that order. I have had 2 orange over the past couple of weeks but generally it always follows the same pattern.

I try to open 2 tier 4's a day